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Try to avoid debt whenever it’s possible. Your intention should be to save as much money as you can, so when difficult times come you will be able to live off your savings. Unfortunately the bankruptcy law has been recently changed, so it is more difficult to simply declare bankruptcy.

Secondly, pay off your mortgage quickly, because the housing market will most likely collapse even further. For example, if someone paid $300,000 for a house and then sells it for $200,000, he or she might end up not only not owning their house but also having a $100,000 debt.

It is also a good idea to purchase some inexpensive land in the country area. Build a house, or simply buy a used RV. Anyway, make yourself sure that you are the owner of the house free and clear. This will allow you to live a rent-free and mortgage-free life for as long as it is necessary.

Finally, spend some time developing skills that will always be in demand. You might consider becoming a decent electrician, handy-person, carpenter or even a cook. In times of economic recession there won’t be much demand for people with deep understanding of content management systems, but somebody able to build a house will always have a place to crash.

The following types of countries are most likely to be at risk (this is a selection of indicators):

• Countries with significant exports to crisis affected countries such as the USA and EU countries (either directly or indirectly). Mexico is a good example;
• Countries exporting products whose prices are affected or products with high income elasticities. Zambia would eventually be hit by lower copper prices, and the tourism sector in Caribbean and African countries will be hit;
• Countries dependent on remittances. With fewer bonuses, Indian workers in the city of London, for example, will have less to remit. There will be fewer migrants coming into the UK and other developed countries, where attitudes might harden and job opportunities become more scarce;
• Countries heavily dependent on FDI, portfolio and DFI finance to address their current account problems (e.g. South Africa cannot afford to reduce its interest rate, and it has already missed some important FDI deals);
• Countries with sophisticated stock markets and banking sectors with weakly regulated markets for securities;
• Countries with a high current account deficit with pressures on exchange rates and inflation rates. South Africa cannot afford to reduce interest rates as it needs to attract investment to address its current account deficit. India has seen a devaluation as well as high inflation. Import values in other countries have already weakened the current account;
• Countries with high government deficits. For example, India has a weak fiscal position which means that they cannot put schemes in place;
• Countries dependent on aid.